Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.007774 0.008715 0.009745 0.010959 0.012356 0.013916 0.015800
2025-04-20 0.006225 0.007479 0.008969 0.010883 0.013297 0.016268 0.020241
2025-04-27 0.005551 0.006984 0.008784 0.011238 0.014543 0.018901 0.025193
2025-05-04 0.004947 0.006451 0.008423 0.011242 0.015243 0.020829 0.029429
2025-05-11 0.004513 0.006067 0.008181 0.011330 0.016009 0.022886 0.034110
2025-05-18 0.004102 0.005658 0.007843 0.011213 0.016426 0.024441 0.038227
2025-05-25 0.003822 0.005399 0.007679 0.011313 0.017156 0.026536 0.043519
2025-06-01 0.003533 0.005095 0.007412 0.011215 0.017539 0.028099 0.048135
2025-06-08 0.003217 0.004720 0.006999 0.010833 0.017401 0.028744 0.051173
2025-06-15 0.003034 0.004533 0.006856 0.010870 0.017960 0.030659 0.056917
2025-06-22 0.002946 0.004486 0.006929 0.011267 0.019189 0.033943 0.065978
2025-06-29 0.002739 0.004231 0.006640 0.011009 0.019191 0.034902 0.070349
2025-07-06 0.002535 0.003974 0.006341 0.010728 0.019169 0.035906 0.075259
2025-07-13 0.002389 0.003803 0.006176 0.010680 0.019597 0.037914 0.082983
2025-07-20 0.002320 0.003758 0.006223 0.011026 0.020848 0.041839 0.096261
2025-07-27 0.002206 0.003624 0.006100 0.011030 0.021393 0.044309 0.106479
2025-08-03 0.002113 0.003521 0.006023 0.011115 0.022119 0.047305 0.118897
2025-08-10 0.002002 0.003375 0.005856 0.011001 0.022389 0.049261 0.128905
2025-08-17 0.001926 0.003291 0.005796 0.011099 0.023148 0.052546 0.143801
2025-08-24 0.001833 0.003167 0.005651 0.011002 0.023444 0.054705 0.155836
2025-08-31 0.001715 0.002989 0.005388 0.010630 0.023038 0.054956 0.161709
2025-09-07 0.001652 0.002911 0.005315 0.010665 0.023628 0.058007 0.178143
2025-09-14 0.001630 0.002910 0.005398 0.011054 0.025151 0.063961 0.207155